The government today hiked the price of petrol by Rs 2 per litre and diesel by Re 1 per litre from midnight tonight to curb losses of public sector oil companies.
The decision will benefit domestic oil companies, whose total under-recoveries this year is estimated at around Rs 71,808 crore, by Rs 840 crore.
"We tried our best not to raise fuel prices, but with global crude oil prices touching $100 per barrel in early January, it was impossible for the oil marketing companies to bear the burden of losses," Petroleum Minister Murli Deora said.
The government, however, has decided not to cut taxes on petrol and diesel - a move demanded by the Left parties. In Delhi, taxes make up almost 52% of the cost of petrol and 32% of the cost of diesel.
The Cabinet Committee on Political Affairs today also decided that 57% of the projected annual Rs 71,000 crore retail loss for the oil marketing companies would be borne by the government through issue of oil bonds. This is up from 42.7% the cabinet had cleared in June last year.
"The real benefit from this price hike will be next year. In the 12 months of the next financial year, it will make up around 10% of the total under-recoveries," Petroleum Secretary M S Srinivasan said.
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Thursday, February 14, 2008
Govt hikes petrol, diesel prices
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Monday, January 14, 2008
GoM to review prices of all petro products
It is not only petrol and diesel prices that will be "reviewed" at the meeting of the Group of Ministers (GoM) on Thursday. The prices of two other subsidised commodities -- kerosene and LPG -- will also be reviewed, Petroleum Minister Murli Deora said today.
This would be the first meeting of the GoM convened in November last year. "On January 17, the GoM meeting under the chairmanship of Pranab Mukherjee is taking place in Delhi. That time, it (price hike) will be decided," Deora said.
Deora was talking to reporters after inaugurating the 7th international conference and exposition of Society of Petroleum Geophysicists here.
"What is left to decide is the quantum of the increase," Petroleum Secretary M S Srininvasn said in response to a question on whether a price hike is inevitable.
With crude oil prices at record highs, the three government-owned oil marketing companies -- Indian Oil Corporation, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum -- are losing as much as Rs 320 crore a day by selling subsidised products. They have therefore been lobbying for a price hike. There is, however, no political consensus on such a move.
The government also has the option of reducing import duties on crude oil and sales tax on petroleum products and avert a hike.
A statement issued by CPI (M), a key ally of the government, which is opposed to a price hike, said: "It is estimated that the central government has collected Rs 40,000 crore more than the budget estimates through ad valorem taxes. If this amount is returned to the oil companies, the necessity of increasing the prices of petroleum products would not arise."
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Friday, January 4, 2008
Govt prepares for Rs 2 a litre petrol price hike
The government is preparing the ground for an increase in the prices of petrol and diesel in February to partly cushion losses, projected at Rs 70,000 crore this fiscal, which oil marketing companies make from selling fuel below cost against steadily rising crude oil prices.
The proposed price increase, the first in 18 months, is likely to be in the range of Rs 2 per litre for petrol and Re 1 per litre for diesel, senior petroleum ministry officials said.
Prices of kerosene and domestic LPG are unlikely to be raised, an oil ministry official said.
Petroleum Secretary MS Srinivasan had on Wednesday said that petrol prices were likely to be increased by Rs 4 per litre and diesel by Rs 2 per litre as news agencies reported today.
“The Rs 4 hike in petrol prices may be too steep, considering there are the Left parties to deal with. It will probably be Rs 2 for petrol and Re 1 for diesel,” confirmed a top petroleum ministry official.
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Understanding Short Term Trading
Short Term stock picking is no rocket science, but rather a visual interpretation of technical charts. A basic moving average on a time frame chart will show the direction of the securities movement.
Moving averages is a mathematical results calculated by averaging a number of past data points. Moving averages (MA) in it's basic form is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. Once the value of MA has been calculated, they are plotted onto a chart and then connected to create a moving average line. Typical moving averages used for short term trading are 50 MA and 100 MA.
Types of Moving Averages
1) Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. The usefulness of the SMA is limited because each point in the data series is weighted the same, regardless of where it occurs in the sequence. Critics argue that the most recent data is more significant than the older data and should have a greater influence on the final result.
2) Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA overcomes the limits of SMA, where more weight is given to the recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information. When calculating the first point of the EMA, we may notice that there is no value available to use as the previous EMA. This small problem can be solved by starting the calculation with a simple moving average and continuing on with calculating the EMA.
The primary functions of a moving average is to identify trends and reversals, measure the strength of an asset's momentum and determine potential areas where an asset will find support or resistance. Moving averages are lagging indicator, which means they do not predict new trend, but confirm trends once they have been established.
A stock is deemed to be in an uptrend when the price is above a moving average and the average is sloping upward. Conversely, a trader will use a price below a downward sloping average to confirm a downtrend. Many traders will only consider holding a long position in an asset when the price is trading above a moving average.
In general, short-term momentum can be gauged by looking at moving averages that focus on time periods of 50 days or less. Looking at moving averages that are created with a period of 50 to 100 days is generally regarded as a good measure of medium-term momentum. Finally, any moving average that uses 100 days or more in the calculation can be used as a measure of long-term momentum.
Support, resistence and stoploss can be infered by referring the closet MA below or above the market price. The other factor that is used in short term momentum is the trading volume. The moving averages along with the trading volume can provide a better insight to short term movement.
Markets are moved by their largest participants - I believe this is the single most important principle in short-term trading. Accordingly, I track the presence of large traders by determining how much volume is in the market and how that compares to average. Because volume correlates very highly with volatility, the market's relative volume helps you determine the amount of movement likely at any given time frame--and it helps you handicap the odds of trending vs. remaining slow and range bound.

