Stepping on the gas for its retail expansion, Aditya Birla Retail (ABRL), the retail arm of the Aditya Birla Group, plans to invest around Rs 250-300 crore for setting up at least a dozen hypermarkets under the brand name more.Megastore in the country.
Launching the company’s first such hypermarket in Vadodara, Russell Berman, chief executive officer, hypermarket division, ABRL, said, “We will probably open a dozen hypermarkets in the country in 2008-09. The hypermarket offers a seamless shopping experience offering 60,000 products from over 500 suppliers.”
Spread over 1,50,000 sq ft, the Vadodara store had been set up at an investment of Rs 25 crore to be followed by more such hypermarkets in Ahmedabad and the National Capital Region (NCR), said Berman.
On the funding of its retail plans, Aditya Birla Group Chairman Kumar Mangalam Birla said, “We have enough funds for our retail plans through internal accruals and won’t be raising money from the capital market. As for the investment, it depends on the scale of rollout in the country. However, it will be substantiative enough for a national presence.”
Confirming the diversified conglomerate’s investment commitment for Gujarat, Kumar Mangalam Birla said the group would be investing Rs 2,500 crore in the state over the next few years.
“We are tripling our viscose staple fibre (VSF) capacity at our Kharach plant from the current 80 tonnes per day (TPD) to 250 TPD by May-end at an investment of Rs 1,000 crore. Also, our telecom company, Idea Cellular, is expanding its network in Gujarat at an investment of Rs 1,000 crore by the next financial year,” said Birla.
Understanding Short Term Trading
Before I begin, this blog is not for intraday traders. My definition of short term implies duration of around 2 to 3 months.
Short Term stock picking is no rocket science, but rather a visual interpretation of technical charts. A basic moving average on a time frame chart will show the direction of the securities movement.
Moving averages is a mathematical results calculated by averaging a number of past data points. Moving averages (MA) in it's basic form is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. Once the value of MA has been calculated, they are plotted onto a chart and then connected to create a moving average line. Typical moving averages used for short term trading are 50 MA and 100 MA.
Types of Moving Averages
1) Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. The usefulness of the SMA is limited because each point in the data series is weighted the same, regardless of where it occurs in the sequence. Critics argue that the most recent data is more significant than the older data and should have a greater influence on the final result.
2) Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA overcomes the limits of SMA, where more weight is given to the recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information. When calculating the first point of the EMA, we may notice that there is no value available to use as the previous EMA. This small problem can be solved by starting the calculation with a simple moving average and continuing on with calculating the EMA.
The primary functions of a moving average is to identify trends and reversals, measure the strength of an asset's momentum and determine potential areas where an asset will find support or resistance. Moving averages are lagging indicator, which means they do not predict new trend, but confirm trends once they have been established.
A stock is deemed to be in an uptrend when the price is above a moving average and the average is sloping upward. Conversely, a trader will use a price below a downward sloping average to confirm a downtrend. Many traders will only consider holding a long position in an asset when the price is trading above a moving average.
In general, short-term momentum can be gauged by looking at moving averages that focus on time periods of 50 days or less. Looking at moving averages that are created with a period of 50 to 100 days is generally regarded as a good measure of medium-term momentum. Finally, any moving average that uses 100 days or more in the calculation can be used as a measure of long-term momentum.
Support, resistence and stoploss can be infered by referring the closet MA below or above the market price. The other factor that is used in short term momentum is the trading volume. The moving averages along with the trading volume can provide a better insight to short term movement.
Markets are moved by their largest participants - I believe this is the single most important principle in short-term trading. Accordingly, I track the presence of large traders by determining how much volume is in the market and how that compares to average. Because volume correlates very highly with volatility, the market's relative volume helps you determine the amount of movement likely at any given time frame--and it helps you handicap the odds of trending vs. remaining slow and range bound.
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