Having missed the opportunity last year to hit the market, power sector giant NHPC is likely to approach the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) by May for its Initial Public Offer (IPO).
“We are waiting for the appointment of independent directors... We hope to have them on the Board soon as the names have already been forwarded and are under process. The government has extended all support,” NHPC Chairman and Managing Director S K Garg told PTI.
“We should be hitting the market around July-August this year and submit revised draft prospectus to Sebi, based on current fiscal’s financial performance on March 31,” he added.
NHPC, which has a paid up capital of Rs 11,500 crore, is likely to come out with a public offer of 167 crore shares, which would add 10 per cent as fresh equity, besides five per cent disinvestment. The shares would have a face value of Rs 10 each.
The proceeds from the IPO would be used to part finance NHPC’s Rs 28,000 crore expansion plan. NHPC has set an ambitious target of becoming a 10,000 MW power generation company during the 11th plan period.
This will be the biggest IPO in the power sector with 167 crore shares on sale, officials said. (So far, Reliance Power IPO, which raised Rs 11,563.2 crore, is considered the biggest in power sector. Taking this figure into account, an issue price of around Rs 70 will make NHPC IPO the biggest.)
Asked about the premium the company was expecting, Garg declined to comment, saying it was too early to comment.
However, he was confident that investors had faith in PSUs as it happened in case of the Rural Electrification Corporation (REC), whose IPO was subscribed over 30 times despite uncertainty in the stock market.
Understanding Short Term Trading
Before I begin, this blog is not for intraday traders. My definition of short term implies duration of around 2 to 3 months.
Short Term stock picking is no rocket science, but rather a visual interpretation of technical charts. A basic moving average on a time frame chart will show the direction of the securities movement.
Moving averages is a mathematical results calculated by averaging a number of past data points. Moving averages (MA) in it's basic form is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. Once the value of MA has been calculated, they are plotted onto a chart and then connected to create a moving average line. Typical moving averages used for short term trading are 50 MA and 100 MA.
Types of Moving Averages
1) Simple Moving Average (SMA)
SMA is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. The usefulness of the SMA is limited because each point in the data series is weighted the same, regardless of where it occurs in the sequence. Critics argue that the most recent data is more significant than the older data and should have a greater influence on the final result.
2) Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
EMA overcomes the limits of SMA, where more weight is given to the recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information. When calculating the first point of the EMA, we may notice that there is no value available to use as the previous EMA. This small problem can be solved by starting the calculation with a simple moving average and continuing on with calculating the EMA.
The primary functions of a moving average is to identify trends and reversals, measure the strength of an asset's momentum and determine potential areas where an asset will find support or resistance. Moving averages are lagging indicator, which means they do not predict new trend, but confirm trends once they have been established.
A stock is deemed to be in an uptrend when the price is above a moving average and the average is sloping upward. Conversely, a trader will use a price below a downward sloping average to confirm a downtrend. Many traders will only consider holding a long position in an asset when the price is trading above a moving average.
In general, short-term momentum can be gauged by looking at moving averages that focus on time periods of 50 days or less. Looking at moving averages that are created with a period of 50 to 100 days is generally regarded as a good measure of medium-term momentum. Finally, any moving average that uses 100 days or more in the calculation can be used as a measure of long-term momentum.
Support, resistence and stoploss can be infered by referring the closet MA below or above the market price. The other factor that is used in short term momentum is the trading volume. The moving averages along with the trading volume can provide a better insight to short term movement.
Markets are moved by their largest participants - I believe this is the single most important principle in short-term trading. Accordingly, I track the presence of large traders by determining how much volume is in the market and how that compares to average. Because volume correlates very highly with volatility, the market's relative volume helps you determine the amount of movement likely at any given time frame--and it helps you handicap the odds of trending vs. remaining slow and range bound.
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