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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Tata Steel forms limestone JV in Oman

Tata Steel has entered into a joint venture (JV) agreement with Oman-based Al Bahja Group for the development of the Uyun limestone deposits at Salalah in the Sultanate of Oman.

According to an official release issued by Tata Steel to the BSE today, it will be holding 70% stake in the JV firm Al Rimal Mining, through its subsidiary TS Global Minerals Holdings. Al Rimal will execute the project of developing and operating the Uyun Mine.

B Muthuraman, MD, Tata Steel said: "Tata Steel is pleased to have signed this agreement. Tata Steel has nearly 100 years of extensive experience of exploration, modelling, designing and operation of both underground and open cast mines. Tata Steel will continue with its policy of introducing best practices for mining, as well as for management of the environment in the development of the Uyun Limestone Mine in Oman. We value our partnership with the Al Bahja Group, and we are sure that this partnership will play a significant role in the mineral development of the Sultanate of Oman. These investments in mining are the foundations towards achieving Tata Steel's vision of becoming a global benchmark in value creation, corporate social responsibility, environmental protection and safety through passionate, talented and motivated employees".

The initial phase will involve exploration and detailed feasibility studies. The project envisages mining of limestone in the Uyun region which lies in the Salalah province of Oman and has large deposits of limestone."

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Understanding Short Term Trading

Before I begin, this blog is not for intraday traders. My definition of short term implies duration of around 2 to 3 months.

Short Term stock picking is no rocket science, but rather a visual interpretation of technical charts. A basic moving average on a time frame chart will show the direction of the securities movement.

Moving averages is a mathematical results calculated by averaging a number of past data points. Moving averages (MA) in it's basic form is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. Once the value of MA has been calculated, they are plotted onto a chart and then connected to create a moving average line. Typical moving averages used for short term trading are 50 MA and 100 MA.

Types of Moving Averages

1) Simple Moving Average (SMA)

SMA is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. The usefulness of the SMA is limited because each point in the data series is weighted the same, regardless of where it occurs in the sequence. Critics argue that the most recent data is more significant than the older data and should have a greater influence on the final result.

2) Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EMA overcomes the limits of SMA, where more weight is given to the recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information. When calculating the first point of the EMA, we may notice that there is no value available to use as the previous EMA. This small problem can be solved by starting the calculation with a simple moving average and continuing on with calculating the EMA.

The primary functions of a moving average is to identify trends and reversals, measure the strength of an asset's momentum and determine potential areas where an asset will find support or resistance. Moving averages are lagging indicator, which means they do not predict new trend, but confirm trends once they have been established.

A stock is deemed to be in an uptrend when the price is above a moving average and the average is sloping upward. Conversely, a trader will use a price below a downward sloping average to confirm a downtrend. Many traders will only consider holding a long position in an asset when the price is trading above a moving average.

In general, short-term momentum can be gauged by looking at moving averages that focus on time periods of 50 days or less. Looking at moving averages that are created with a period of 50 to 100 days is generally regarded as a good measure of medium-term momentum. Finally, any moving average that uses 100 days or more in the calculation can be used as a measure of long-term momentum.

Support, resistence and stoploss can be infered by referring the closet MA below or above the market price. The other factor that is used in short term momentum is the trading volume. The moving averages along with the trading volume can provide a better insight to short term movement.

Markets are moved by their largest participants - I believe this is the single most important principle in short-term trading. Accordingly, I track the presence of large traders by determining how much volume is in the market and how that compares to average. Because volume correlates very highly with volatility, the market's relative volume helps you determine the amount of movement likely at any given time frame--and it helps you handicap the odds of trending vs. remaining slow and range bound.