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Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Top News

Gokaldas plans manufacturing units in Hubli, Mangalore

Apparel exports major, Gokaldas Exports, is planning to set up manufacturing units at Hubli and Mangalore in Karnataka with a combined production capacity of four million garments a year.

The initiative was part of the Bangalore-based company's move to tap tier-II cities where the labour and rental costs were less, Mr Rajendra J Hinduja, Executive Director (Finance), Gokaldas Exports said here.

"Today, rentals in Bangalore are sky-high. It's Rs 15 per square feet (rent per month) for industrial sheds. Far too expensive. It should have been Rs 7-8 per square feet to sustain costs," he said.

The proposed Hubli and Mangalore units would each have a production capacity of two million garments a year. The company's annual total production capacity is 24 million garments.

Mr Hinduja said its manufacturing facility at Hyderabad would be commissioned in April.

Patel Engg Oct-Dec net profit rises 20%; shares up

Civil infrastructure firm Patel Engineering Ltd on Tuesday reported a 20 per cent rise in net profit for the quarter to December 31 on a strong order book.

Its revenues rose 20 per cent to Rs 260 crore, while net profit was Rs 35.03 crore.

"With several infrastructure projects expected to take off in the coming months, we continue to remain bullish on the business environment," said Mr Rupen Patel, Managing Director in a statement.

At the end of the quarter the company's outstanding order book stood at about Rs 5,500 crore. It also entered into a joint venture with Mauritius-based Sotravic Ltee for new orders worth $6 million, for the construction of sewerage and water supply works there, it said.

The expected order pipeline is in the region of Rs 6,000 crore, it added. The shares of Patel Engineering were trading up 0.6 per cent at Rs 1,004.95 in the Mumbai market after hitting a high of Rs 1,050 in intra-day deals.

Gitanjali spent Rs 100 crore on brand building, buys

Jewellery exporter Gitanjali Gems Ltd said on Tuesday that it has so far invested Rs 100 crore in brand building and buying Nakshatra brand and Brightest Circle Jewellery Pvt Ltd.

The company on Monday said it had bought Nakshatra brand from Diamond Trading Co., the rough diamond distribution arm of De Beers.

GE Shipping to sell dry bulk carrier

Great Eastern Shipping Co Ltd said on Tuesday that it has signed an agreement to sell a 73,350 dead-weight-tonne dry bulk carrier for an undisclosed sum.

The vessel, which joined the company's fleet in March 2007, would be delivered to its buyers in the first quarter of 2008-09, it said in a statement.

Great Eastern Shipping has a fleet of 47 vessels comprising 34 tankers and 13 dry bulk carriers.

Jaihind Projects bags addl orders from BRPL

Jaihind Projects Ltd has informed the BSE that the order value from BRPL (Stemcor group of U.K.) has increased from Rs 30.30 crore to Rs 52.78 crore, for executing pipeline for iron ore slurry for their tanto beneficiation plant to pellet plant a t Jajpur, Orissa.

Saregama forms jt venture with Australian company

City-based music company Saregama Ltd has formed a joint venture with an Australian media company, Regency, for large-scale manufacturing of VCDs and DVDs.

"We will take 25-26 per cent stake in the joint venture, which will have the manufacturing base in the city,'' Saregama Managing Director Subroto Chattopadhyay told PTI. He, however, did not give the quantum of investment in the venture.

The joint venture company, Saregama Regency Optimedia, is likely to start production by end of the current year. Regency Media has capability to produce 40 million DVDs and 25 million CDs.

Mr Chattopadhyay said the main purpose to tie up with the disc-major was to have some control in manufacturing. "We have a strong library of three lakh songs and 19,000 movies. To manage this mega catalog we should have some control on manufacturing cap ability,'' he said.

The project is likely to produce and replicate large-scale optical discs at competitive prices.

M&M to acquire Italian design house

Car maker Mahindra and Mahindra on Tuesday said it plans to acquire Italian auto design firm G R Grafica Ricerca Design Srl (GRD) for an undisclosed amount.

Through this acquisition, the company intends to develop a global design centre for the group and cater to the global auto original equipment manufacturers, M&M said in a statement to the Bombay Stock Exchange.

"The synergies resulting from this acquisition will not only help us strengthen our existing design capabilities but will also help us emerge as a global auto design powerhouse," said M&M Automotive Sector President, Mr Pawan Goenka.

Complementary capabilities between Mahindra and GRD will enhance the product development capabilities and provide a strong European footprint to leverage technologies and skill sets through the available talent pool of designers and engineers, Mr Goenka added.

The company would incorporate a new subsidiary, Mahindra Graphic Research and Design, for acquiring the Italian firm, M&M said.

Goldiam Intl enters into contract for jewellery exports

Goldiam International Ltd has informed the BSE that its subsidiary companies, Goldiam Hong Kong Ltd, China and Goldiam Jewels Ltd, Mumbai have entered into a contract with Socotra Diamonds Ltd, Dubai, UAE for the export of jewellery worth $100,0 0,000.

The delivery will be made starting January 2, 2008 and until January 2, 2009.

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Understanding Short Term Trading

Before I begin, this blog is not for intraday traders. My definition of short term implies duration of around 2 to 3 months.

Short Term stock picking is no rocket science, but rather a visual interpretation of technical charts. A basic moving average on a time frame chart will show the direction of the securities movement.

Moving averages is a mathematical results calculated by averaging a number of past data points. Moving averages (MA) in it's basic form is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. Once the value of MA has been calculated, they are plotted onto a chart and then connected to create a moving average line. Typical moving averages used for short term trading are 50 MA and 100 MA.

Types of Moving Averages

1) Simple Moving Average (SMA)

SMA is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values on a rolling window of timeframe. The usefulness of the SMA is limited because each point in the data series is weighted the same, regardless of where it occurs in the sequence. Critics argue that the most recent data is more significant than the older data and should have a greater influence on the final result.

2) Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

EMA overcomes the limits of SMA, where more weight is given to the recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information. When calculating the first point of the EMA, we may notice that there is no value available to use as the previous EMA. This small problem can be solved by starting the calculation with a simple moving average and continuing on with calculating the EMA.

The primary functions of a moving average is to identify trends and reversals, measure the strength of an asset's momentum and determine potential areas where an asset will find support or resistance. Moving averages are lagging indicator, which means they do not predict new trend, but confirm trends once they have been established.

A stock is deemed to be in an uptrend when the price is above a moving average and the average is sloping upward. Conversely, a trader will use a price below a downward sloping average to confirm a downtrend. Many traders will only consider holding a long position in an asset when the price is trading above a moving average.

In general, short-term momentum can be gauged by looking at moving averages that focus on time periods of 50 days or less. Looking at moving averages that are created with a period of 50 to 100 days is generally regarded as a good measure of medium-term momentum. Finally, any moving average that uses 100 days or more in the calculation can be used as a measure of long-term momentum.

Support, resistence and stoploss can be infered by referring the closet MA below or above the market price. The other factor that is used in short term momentum is the trading volume. The moving averages along with the trading volume can provide a better insight to short term movement.

Markets are moved by their largest participants - I believe this is the single most important principle in short-term trading. Accordingly, I track the presence of large traders by determining how much volume is in the market and how that compares to average. Because volume correlates very highly with volatility, the market's relative volume helps you determine the amount of movement likely at any given time frame--and it helps you handicap the odds of trending vs. remaining slow and range bound.